SKILL VETO — HISTORICAL EFFECT ON ORIGINAL METHODS
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Veto if favorite is EITHER:
  1) >=1.0 significant strike/min worse than opponent, OR
  2) >=20 percentage points worse in takedown defense.
All skill stats are calculated only from UFC fights BEFORE the target fight.

AGE HYBRID
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ORIGINAL: 651 bets | 528-123 | win=81.11% | ROI=+1.80% | P/L=$+1,172.12
WITH VETO: 528 bets | 434-94 | win=82.20% | ROI=+3.15% | P/L=$+1,665.72
CHANGE: ROI +1.35pp | removed 123 signals = 94 historical wins + 29 historical losses
VETOED GROUP ITSELF: 123 bets | 94-29 | ROI=-4.01%
FILTERED ERA CHECK: pre-2020 n=304 ROI=+3.31% | 2020+ n=224 ROI=+2.95%
Original signals without complete two-sided skill history: 178

REACH HYBRID
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ORIGINAL: 415 bets | 331-84 | win=79.76% | ROI=+4.25% | P/L=$+1,762.80
WITH VETO: 321 bets | 265-56 | win=82.55% | ROI=+7.62% | P/L=$+2,444.70
CHANGE: ROI +3.37pp | removed 94 signals = 66 historical wins + 28 historical losses
VETOED GROUP ITSELF: 94 bets | 66-28 | ROI=-7.25%
FILTERED ERA CHECK: pre-2020 n=202 ROI=+5.55% | 2020+ n=119 ROI=+11.12%
Original signals without complete two-sided skill history: 138

AGE + REACH PREMIUM
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ORIGINAL: 120 bets | 104-16 | win=86.67% | ROI=+9.00% | P/L=$+1,080.37
WITH VETO: 92 bets | 81-11 | win=88.04% | ROI=+11.19% | P/L=$+1,029.89
CHANGE: ROI +2.19pp | removed 28 signals = 23 historical wins + 5 historical losses
VETOED GROUP ITSELF: 28 bets | 23-5 | ROI=+1.80%
FILTERED ERA CHECK: pre-2020 n=63 ROI=+8.57% | 2020+ n=29 ROI=+16.89%
Original signals without complete two-sided skill history: 27

